No. 13 Oregon hosts No. 21 UCLA on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS in a Big Ten matchup with College Football Playoff implications for both teams.
The 3-1 Ducks beat USC 41-27 in Week 4 despite losing starting quarterback Dante Moore to a concussion in the first half. Moore is unlikely to play against UCLA. Dylan Raiola, a Nebraska transfer and former two-year starter, completed 19 of 25 passes for 289 yards and two touchdowns against the Trojans and will likely start again.
UCLA, undefeated at 4-0 under first-year coach Bob Chesney, defeated Maryland 54-3 in Week 4. The Bruins have not yet faced a team ranked in the top 60 of the CBS Sports 138. Their offensive strength is the ground game, ranking fourth nationally with 281.5 rushing yards per game. James Madison transfer Wayne Knight leads the attack, tied for third nationally with nine rushing touchdowns and averaging over 100 yards in UCLA's first two Big Ten games.
Oregon is 38th in run defense. Knight ran for 110 yards on 17 carries against Oregon in last year's College Football Playoff quarterfinal matchup between the programs, but the Bruins now have better supporting talent.
Oregon's 51.1% College Football Playoff probability with a win drops to 19.6% with a loss, per CBS Sports' College Football Forecaster. UCLA would move to 33.3% CFP probability with a victory and fall to 8.3% with a loss. Oregon's earlier loss to Oklahoma State in Week 2 damaged the Ducks' postseason path; only Ohio State on Nov. 7 remains as a ranked opponent on the remainder of Oregon's schedule.
CBS Sports predicts Oregon minus 11.5.